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BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Adjusted net investment income was $0.36 per share (GAAP NII $0.40), reflecting an adjusted annualized NII ROAE of 14% and regular dividend coverage of 106% for Q3 2024 .
- The Board declared a $0.34 regular dividend and a $0.10 special dividend payable December 31, 2024; authorization to repurchase up to $50 million of common stock was re-approved .
- Non-accruals improved sequentially to 3.8% of fair value (9.3% of cost), with Pluralsight returned to accrual following restructuring; NAV per share declined 0.9% QoQ to $10.11 on markdowns in certain names .
- Liquidity remained strong at ~$582 million with net leverage at 1.08x; 2024 notes were repaid and the Operating Facility maturity extended to 2029, modestly lifting the weighted average cost of debt to 5.43% .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Dividend coverage remained robust: “Our dividend remains well covered at 106%,” with adjusted NII of $0.36 per share and adjusted annualized NII ROAE at the high end of historical levels (14%) .
- Credit progress: Pluralsight was removed from non-accrual post recapitalization; overall loans on non-accrual fell to 3.8% FV as one company exited non-accrual despite one addition .
- Capital position and portfolio mix: 91% senior secured and 81% first lien, with ~13.4% weighted average annual effective yield on performing debt and 92.7% floating rate, supporting recurring income resilience .
Quote: “At quarter end, our portfolio remained well diversified with 156 investments primarily in senior secured, first-lien loans. We have a strong capital and liquidity position…” .
What Went Wrong
- NAV pressure: NAV per share declined to $10.11 (from $10.20), driven by markdowns in Gordon Brothers, SellerX, and InMoment, and one new non-accrual (Razor preferred) .
- Higher funding costs: Weighted average interest rate on debt outstanding rose to 5.43% (vs. 5.00% in Q2), and interest expense per share increased partly due to timing and cash carry ahead of note repayment .
- Yield compression: New investments’ weighted average yield (11.3%) was below exited investments (13.4%), reflecting tighter spreads and disciplined underwriting that limited repricings .
Financial Results
Income and Earnings vs Prior Periods
Portfolio KPIs
Investment Activity and Yields
Dividend Coverage
Guidance Changes
Note: TCPC does not provide formal revenue/EPS/OpEx/Tax guidance in filings; dividend policy and capital program updates are the primary forward-looking items .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered solid adjusted net investment income of $30.8 million, or $0.36 per share… adjusted annualized NII return on average equity of 14%… dividend remains well covered at 106%” (Raj Vig) .
- “Loans on non-accrual status declined from 4.9% to 3.8% of portfolio fair value… Pluralsight removed from non-accrual… Razor preferred equity on non-accrual” (Raj Vig) .
- “All the new debt investments in the third quarter were first lien loans… portfolio weighted average annual effective yield of our performing debt portfolio was 13.4%” (Phil Tseng) .
- “Available liquidity was $582 million… net leverage was 1.08x… weighted average interest rate on debt outstanding… 5.4%” (Erik Cuellar) .
- “Not an indication of strategy shift… core middle market… differentiated structures including covenants and premium yields” (Phil Tseng, on global DL unit) .
Q&A Highlights
- NII sustainability and rate sensitivity: Management expects some NII reversal as base rates decline but continues to target covered dividends; prepays may remain episodic yet elevated given M&A/refi pickup .
- Aggregators exposure: Aggregators ~5.9% of FV; confidence in leaders and consolidation to drive efficiencies; ongoing restructuring engagement .
- Funding costs/interest expense: Higher interest expense in Q3 driven by refi of 3.9% 2024 notes at higher incremental rates and carrying cash ahead of repayment; normalization expected in Q4 .
- SBA capacity: $10 million remaining under current license; potential for second license as pipeline develops .
- Shareholder spillover/special dividend rationale: Balance between minimum distribution requirements and excise tax; special dividend mitigates spillover into year-end .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus via S&P Global: EPS and revenue consensus for Q3 2024 were unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limitations. As a result, no estimate comparison could be provided; please note unavailability and consider re-checking later (S&P Global Capital IQ) (consensus not retrieved due to API limit) [functions.GetEstimates errors].
Where estimates are needed for trading decisions, we recommend checking updated S&P Global consensus for “Primary EPS Consensus Mean” and “Revenue Consensus Mean” once access is restored.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Dividend durability remains the central pillar: 106% coverage on adjusted NII and an incremental $0.10 special suggest confidence in recurring earnings despite modest rate headwinds .
- Credit normalization underway: Sequential decline in non-accruals and resolution progress (Pluralsight back on accrual) point to improved trajectory, though markdowns in select names remain a watch item .
- Yield compression vs risk discipline: New deal yields have tightened (~11.3% vs 13.4% on exits), but TCPC is declining repricings at weaker structures, preserving downside protection amid tighter spreads .
- Balance sheet and liquidity support deployment: Net leverage at 1.08x, $582M liquidity, and 2024 note repayment lower refinancing risk; facility maturity extension adds flexibility .
- Aggregator exposure contained and actively managed: ~5.9% FV concentrated in leaders with ongoing consolidation; outcomes depend on restructuring execution and macro consumer trends .
- Near-term trading: Special dividend and credit improvement are positive catalysts; caution warranted on NII sensitivity to rate cuts and potential further markdowns in a handful of names .
- Medium-term thesis: Core middle market focus, first-lien concentration, and BlackRock platform synergies should sustain premium risk-adjusted returns; watch non-accrual resolution pace and spread environment for re-acceleration .